Knik Fairview, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

263
FXAK68 PAFC 281254
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
454 AM AKDT Sat Mar 28 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

If you were looking for a break from some of the sunnier weather
we have been enjoying as of late (said no one ever), a passing
trough through Southcentral should increase cloud cover for
Saturday, especially this afternoon and evening. No precipitation
is expected with the trough`s passage as the region is too dry.
Morning winds through Seward and Whittier should relax this
afternoon with the exception of Thompson Pass, where gusts from 25
to 35 mph out of the northeast direction will persist into
Monday. Behind the trough, dry air returns by Sunday with mostly
sunny skies to make a return to Southcentral along with afternoon
diurnally driven gusts for the usual gap wind locations.

We continue to monitor the arrival of a front and triple point
low into the western Gulf later tonight and early Sunday. Snow
will spread across Kodiak Island from south to north through the
course of the day on Sunday and persist through late Monday. Snow
totals on the order of 5 to 7 inches will be possible before snow
ends with the departure of the low into the southern Gulf late
Monday.

BL

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

Key Message: A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the
Kuskokwim Coast and Western Capes from noon today through 8AM
Sunday for snow and blowing snow reducing visibility down to one
half mile at times.

Discussion:

A large but fairly weak occluded low is moving across the central
Bering as its attendant front situates itself between the
Pribilof Islands and the Kuskokwim Coast. This front is slowing
down as it approaches a vertically stacked ridge extending from
the North Pacific and northward over western Alaska. While the
ridge axis remains overhead, its associated low level inversion
could yield a few areas of fog across Southwest Alaska this
morning before the front arrives. While the front is not overly
strong, as it comes to a stall early this afternoon, southeasterly
winds gusting up to 30 mph near the immediate coast will create
blowing snow conditions. 4 to 6 inches of snow is likely to fall
across the immediate coast and southward down across the Western
Capes through the end of Sunday.

Moving into Monday, the upper level energy and surface low will
shift south of the Alaska Peninsula and eventually into the Gulf.
This will end precipitation from north to south and return the
existing weather pattern of clear and cold to the region. For this
forecast period, inland areas will remain dry due to the strength
of the high pressure ridge preventing the storm progression
inland. Weather for this area will change from the recent
conditions in that cloud cover and a slight increase in winds will
warm temperatures, especially nighttime lows. The next weather
player in the form of a North Pacific low and its attendant front
approaches the Aleutian Chain starting late Tuesday morning. With
adequate upper level support, the global models show the low
deepening somewhat but staying south of the Aleutians while its
front lifts across the Aleutians through the end of the short
term.


-AM/CJ

&&


.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)...

The active storm track through the long-term period remains south
of the Mainland, with several low pressure systems traversing
eastwards across the North Pacific and into the Gulf. This will
continue to keep much of the Mainland dry through at least the
first half of the week with most active weather being confined to
the Aleutian Chain, Alaska Peninsula, and Kodiak Island in the
form of modest winds and a mix of rain and snow. Some stronger
northerly gap winds through typical locations will remain possible
through the period as these systems track into the Gulf.
Temperatures trending warmer and approaching seasonal averages
across Southwest and Southcentral Alaska look to remain steady
through the long-term.

&&


.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&


$$