Knik Fairview, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

686
FXAK68 PAFC 300003
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
403 PM AKDT Sun Mar 29 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
(Days 1 through 3: This afternoon through Wednesday evening)...

Snow has begun to fall across southern portions of Kodiak Island
today from Akhiok north to Old Harbor. Snow is expected to advance
northward to Kodiak City, Ouzinkie, and points north of there
along the Island the rest of this afternoon and into the evening
hours. Winter Weather Advisories remain issued for both the north
and south zones of Kodiak Island. Anywhere from 4 to 10 inches of
snow remain possible through Monday night. Snow totals on the lee
side/Shelikof Strait of the Kodiak Island (Karluk/Larsen Bay) will
see much lower amounts with perhaps a couple of inches. Onshore
easterly winds of 15 to 20 mph will prevail beginning late this
afternoon into the evening. As low pressure southeast of Kodiak
Island becomes more organized tonight into Monday, winds will
become northeasterly and increase into the 20 to 30 mph range
overnight tonight. Blowing snow is not anticipated due to the
warmer temperatures hovering near 32 degrees.

Most of Southcentral will remain dry and feel no effects from
this system. However, the easterly to southeasterly flow coming
around the extreme southern Gulf to northern North Pacific low
will cause some upslope snow showers along the eastern facing
slopes of the Kenai Mountains and along the mountain ranges of
Western Prince William Sound Sunday evening through Monday. The
low pressure system responsible for the bout of snow across Kodiak
Island today and Monday will track farther southeast for Tuesday
with another dry day in store area wide. Wednesday will feature
more of the same as a high pressure ridge builds into the Gulf.
The next weather-maker, a front associated with a North Pacific
low tracking south of the Alaska Peninsula, arrives to Kodiak
Island late Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

The large, occluded low centered just to the west of Nunivak
Island this afternoon is beginning to elongate and open into a
broad trough across the eastern Bering as a triple point low along
its front forms in the North Pacific. The stalled front continues
to bring widespread snowfall along the Alaska Peninsula and
Southwest Alaska coast through tonight as the upper level support
and energy pivots south into the North Pacific. Snowfall is
expected to end from north to south across the Kuskokwim Delta
coast early Monday morning with an additional 1 to 2 inches of
accumulation. Snow lingers into Monday afternoon for the Bristol
Bay coast and Alaska Peninsula with an additional 2 to 6 inches of
snow. The heaviest snowfall rates and snow totals on the higher
end of the range are expected along the Bristol Bay coast from
Togiak to Dillingham. Reduced visibilities down to one mile or
less at times for these areas will be possible during periods of
the heaviest snowfall rates through this evening.

Attention then shifts early Tuesday morning to a North Pacific
low approaching the Western Aleutians as its front lifts northward
towards the rest of the Aleutian Chain. Models have come into
fairly good agreement on the timing of the front and the eastward
track just to the south of the Aleutian Chain through the short-
term forecast period. Precipitation along the front steadily
progresses eastward across the Aleutian Chain through Tuesday and
along the Alaska Peninsula through Wednesday. The onset of
precipitation for Adak and Atka will likely begin as a rain/snow
mix before transitioning to plain rain as warmer, southerly flow
erodes away the colder airmass in place. Farther east, the eastern
Aleutians and AKPen likely sees more snow as the system further
occludes through Wednesday. Small craft winds with widespread
gale-force gusts along the front can be expected through Tuesday
before the front begins to weaken Wednesday.

-JH

&&


.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through
Sunday)...

The active storm tracks through the long-term period remain south
of the Mainland, with several low pressure systems traversing
eastwards across the North Pacific and into the Gulf. This will
continue to keep much of the Mainland dry through midweek with
most active weather being confined to the Aleutian Chain, Alaska
Peninsula, and Kodiak Island in the form of modest winds and a mix
of rain and snow. By Friday, a low developing along the triple
point may form in the western Gulf, which would promote a more
active pattern for Southcentral Alaska. Easterly winds to increase
along the Gulf coast into next weekend, with precipitation
spreading along the region as well. Some stronger northerly gap
winds through typical locations will remain possible through the
period as these systems track into the Gulf. Temperatures trending
warmer and approaching seasonal averages across Southwest and
Southcentral Alaska look to remain steady through the long-term.

&&



.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&


$$